Is Now a Good Time to Buy a Home? A Balanced Look for Late 2026
Updated

Key takeaways
- The best time to buy depends on your life and budget more than on the market.
- Mortgage rates are higher than a year ago, but buyers have more homes to choose from.
- In Northern Virginia, buyers have noticeably more homes to choose from than a year ago.
- If you plan to stay at least five years and the payment fits, buying can still make sense.
Almost every buyer asks me this question. The honest answer: there’s no perfect time, only a right time for you. Here’s how today’s market stacks up.
What works in your favor right now
- More choices. Active listings across Northern Virginia are running well above last year’s level.
- More negotiating room. Homes are sitting a little longer, and sellers are more open to credits and repairs.
- Less competition. Higher rates have pulled some buyers to the sidelines.
What works against you
- Higher rates. Freddie Mac’s 30-year average was 7.28% on October 1, up nearly a point from a year earlier.
- Prices still rising. Northern Virginia’s median price is still higher than a year ago.
- Budget pressure. A higher payment can mean adjusting your price range.
A simple test: are you ready?
- Do you plan to stay at least five years?
- Is your job and income stable?
- Do you have savings for the down payment, closing costs and a cushion?
- Is the full monthly payment comfortable, not just possible?
If you answered yes to all four, the market matters less than you think. If not, it may be worth a few more months of preparation.
Daniel’s tip: In a higher-rate market, ask about a seller-paid rate buydown. A credit from the seller can lower your rate for the first years or permanently, which can be worth more than a price cut.
See what payment fits your budget before you shop.
Frequently asked questions
Should I wait for rates to fall?
If rates fall, more buyers usually return and prices can rise. Buying now and refinancing later may be possible, but don’t count on it.
Is renting smarter right now?
Sometimes. Run the numbers with the Rent vs. Buy Calculator and read Rent or Buy in Northern Virginia?
Filed under Buying a Home, Market Pulse
Get new articles by email
A short monthly note on the Northern Virginia market, plus my newest articles. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.